UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 1-1
Stade Rennais vs Tavriya Simferopol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Rennais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
ASN
2 - 3
REN
46%
28%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
REN
2 - 1
TFC
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CAE
2 - 2
REN
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
REN
3 - 0
STR
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
REN
1 - 0
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tavriya Simferopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2008 |
TAV
0 - 0
DNI
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
TAV
3 - 1
TIR
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
TIR
0 - 0
TAV
44%
29%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
TAV
2 - 2
MEZ
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ZOR
2 - 3
TAV
41%
29%
30%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |