Stade Rennais vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
16º
11º
28
8º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 83 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 2% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Rennais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
TRO
1 - 0
REN
16%
21%
64%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
REN
1 - 2
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
NIC
3 - 2
REN
37%
26%
38%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GIR
1 - 4
REN
16%
22%
63%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
REN
2 - 0
ANG
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 1
NAN
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 1
LYO
26%
24%
49%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ANG
2 - 0
BRE
25%
25%
51%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LRO
0 - 1
BRE
5%
15%
80%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 1
NAN
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |