Stade Rennais vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
16º
10º
18
13º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Rennais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 0
REN
56%
23%
22%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
REN
0 - 2
TFC
60%
21%
19%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AUX
4 - 0
REN
22%
23%
55%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
REN
1 - 0
LHA
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 1
REN
29%
25%
47%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 0
MPL
35%
25%
41%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 0
ASS
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 0
STR
30%
25%
46%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ANG
4 - 2
ASS
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 2
LEN
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |