Stade Rennais vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
11º
4º
4
6º
17º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League
|
21.5% | 17.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
17% | 17% |
|
Europa League
|
20.5% | 14.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
17.5% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 36% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Rennais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REN
1 - 1
BRE
55%
21%
23%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
REN
2 - 0
RSO
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
REN
18%
22%
60%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REN
2 - 1
ANG
79%
14%
8%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
REN
2 - 1
STL
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
LYO
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 4
LYO
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
LYO
0 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
STP
1 - 0
LYO
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 3
LYO
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |