Stade Rennais vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
11º
4º
1
8º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
21.5% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
17% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
20.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
17.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 76% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Rennais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
REI
2 - 1
REN
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 1
REN
26%
24%
51%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
REN
3 - 0
LYO
49%
23%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REN
1 - 1
BRE
55%
21%
23%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
REN
2 - 0
RSO
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MPL
1 - 3
NAN
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PSG
6 - 0
MPL
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MPL
1 - 1
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
M05
3 - 1
MPL
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 1
FCM
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |