Stade Rennais vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
16º
11º
33
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 42 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 6% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0.5% | 12% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Rennais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
REN
3 - 0
MPL
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
REI
2 - 1
REN
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 1
REN
26%
24%
51%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
REN
3 - 0
LYO
49%
23%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REN
1 - 1
BRE
55%
21%
23%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 0
LYO
46%
24%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 0
LEN
27%
26%
47%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
2 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
2 - 1
PAN
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |