Stade Rennais II vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
5º
5º
18
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 43 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 43 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 26 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
18% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Rennais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 2
STA
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
USF
82%
12%
7%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
STA
4 - 1
VAN
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
STA
24%
22%
55%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
STA
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
SPM
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 0
PON
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LAT
5 - 1
PON
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PON
0 - 1
LOC
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 0
PON
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |