Stade Rennais II vs Union Sportive Fougères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
2º
1º
2
11º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 37 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
46% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Rennais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
STA
4 - 1
VAN
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
STA
24%
22%
55%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
STA
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
USF
2 - 3
STA
24%
22%
55%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
SPM
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
3 - 0
USF
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
USF
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
USF
0 - 7
LHA
7%
16%
77%
|
27 | 76 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
USF
2 - 3
ERG
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PLA
4 - 2
USF
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |