Portelois vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 1
ASB
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 3
DUN
42%
27%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
MET
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AAC
0 - 1
DUN
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 1
IVR
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |