Portelois vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portelois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 0
AVI
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 0
SPO
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
DUN
15%
21%
63%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | +3 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
AMI
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
NIO
1 - 1
AJA
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 0
STR
47%
27%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 4
AJA
78%
14%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +3 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
AJA
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |