Stade Pontivy vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
71%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TRE
0 - 2
LUC
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LES
1 - 0
LUC
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 2
LEH
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 2
LUC
33%
27%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 2
SAU
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |