Stade Payerne vs Ostermundigen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Payerne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TPA
1 - 2
STA
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
STA
0 - 0
LYS
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
STA
2 - 1
THI
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
STA
0 - 1
LAC
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
STA
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ostermundigen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
OST
3 - 2
BUL
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BUM
0 - 0
OST
75%
15%
11%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
OST
0 - 5
GRU
24%
22%
55%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 0
OST
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
OST
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |