Stade Payerne vs Farvagny / Ogoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Payerne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
STA
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
STA
4 - 0
ECH
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
STA
3 - 1
TPA
59%
20%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
STA
23%
22%
56%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
STA
2 - 2
LYS
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FAR
3 - 1
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LYS
1 - 3
FAR
59%
19%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 1
POR
27%
22%
52%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LOC
3 - 6
FAR
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 1
THI
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |