Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
8º
7º
43
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Nyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
NEX
4 - 0
STA
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
BEL
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
STA
43%
26%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
THU
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 2
FCV
35%
24%
41%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 4
WIL
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
SIO
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 1
FCA
42%
25%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 2
BEL
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCA
14%
19%
67%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |