Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
10º
10º
16
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
15 | 35 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
16 | 30 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 30 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 25 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 25 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 23 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 22 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 21 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 18 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 19.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation
|
51.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Nyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
BAS
12%
18%
70%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 3
STA
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
THU
4 - 2
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 6
STA
4%
9%
87%
|
63 | 7 | 56 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 3
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 2
ETO
7%
13%
80%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
WIL
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
ETO
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 3
ETO
12%
17%
71%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 2
THU
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |