CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-2
Stade Malien vs Raja Casablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Malien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ONZ
1 - 0
STA
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
CSK
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
STA
1 - 0
USF
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
BAK
0 - 2
STA
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CDS
0 - 1
STA
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Raja Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RCA
2 - 0
HAS
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
DIF
1 - 0
RCA
37%
31%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
RCA
2 - 1
MAG
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FUR
1 - 1
RCA
45%
29%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RCA
1 - 0
KAC
65%
21%
13%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |