CAF Champions Last 16
Global 5-2
Stade Malien vs Mangasport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Malien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
OLY
2 - 0
STA
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
STA
1 - 0
ASB
51%
27%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 3
STA
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
GNN
1 - 1
STA
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
STA
0 - 0
GNN
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mangasport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
105
2 - 3
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 3
STA
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -3 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 0
MAN
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAN
56%
24%
21%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CFM
1 - 5
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |