Stade Malien vs Diables Noirs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Malien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 1
STA
19%
24%
58%
|
61 | 15 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
ONZ
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
USF
1 - 1
STA
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 1
STA
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
KIT
2 - 3
STA
30%
30%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Diables Noirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 3
DIA
33%
29%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
KON
2 - 2
DIA
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
DIA
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
DIA
3 - 1
TAL
47%
25%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
DIA
2 - 0
MOK
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |