CAF Champions Last 16
Global 0-2
Stade Malien vs Al-Hilal Omdurman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Malien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
STA
3 - 0
OLY
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
STA
4 - 0
SPR
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SPR
3 - 2
STA
15%
21%
64%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ASN
0 - 1
STA
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2013 |
STA
2 - 0
USF
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALA
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ALH
0 - 3
ALH
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALH
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 2
ALH
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
ALH
1 - 0
ALA
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |