Stade Lavallois vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
15º
7º
27
12º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
28% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Lavallois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CLE
1 - 1
STL
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 1
STL
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
STL
1 - 1
RED
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
STL
2 - 0
LOR
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
STL
5%
11%
85%
|
74 | 23 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
TRO
0 - 1
ANN
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
TRO
1 - 0
REN
16%
21%
64%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ROD
2 - 1
TRO
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
AMI
0 - 3
TRO
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 0
MET
31%
26%
44%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +2 |