Stade Lavallois vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
15º
6º
24
5º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 69 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 53 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 40 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
43% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 27.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Lavallois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
STL
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
STL
0 - 1
GUI
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
STL
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STL
3 - 2
ORL
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STL
1 - 2
NAN
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
TRO
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
RED
1 - 0
AJA
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
ROD
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 1
AJA
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 2
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |