Stade Gabésien vs M'Saken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
23.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
9º
5º
26
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Gabésien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MOK
3 - 1
STA
31%
31%
38%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
STA
0 - 0
SPO
61%
25%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EMM
0 - 1
STA
27%
31%
42%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
STA
2 - 2
STA
27%
30%
44%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
STA
2 - 0
JSO
45%
30%
25%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
M'Saken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
4 - 2
KAL
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 2
MOK
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 1
CRO
27%
28%
46%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CLU
4 - 0
CRO
74%
18%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 0
ASR
18%
21%
62%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |