Stade Français vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Français
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1964 |
SOC
4 - 1
SFP
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
SFP
0 - 0
TFC
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
MON
0 - 1
SFP
68%
19%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
VAL
0 - 0
SFP
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
SFP
2 - 3
RAC
41%
23%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
SPO
3 - 1
LIL
42%
25%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
SPO
1 - 1
NIC
24%
23%
54%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
ASS
3 - 1
SPO
79%
13%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
SPO
1 - 0
ANG
35%
23%
42%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
LEN
6 - 2
SPO
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |