Stade Brestois vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
LEN
1 - 0
BRE
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1985 |
BRE
0 - 2
ASN
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
PSG
2 - 0
BRE
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
LHA
2 - 0
BRE
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1985 |
BRE
1 - 1
NIC
65%
20%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
SPO
0 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1985 |
STL
2 - 0
SPO
46%
27%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 1
LIL
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
TFC
4 - 0
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 1
GIR
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |