Stade Brestois vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
LEN
3 - 2
BRE
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
BRE
1 - 0
STL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
NAN
4 - 0
BRE
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
BRE
0 - 1
TFC
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
FCR
0 - 1
BRE
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
STL
0 - 2
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
SPO
3 - 0
LEN
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
SOC
8 - 2
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAN
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
ASN
2 - 2
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |