Stade Brestois vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
72.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 5
PSG
12%
18%
71%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
0 - 3
RMA
4%
11%
86%
|
87 | 100 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LHA
0 - 1
BRE
23%
25%
53%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 0
BRE
36%
24%
41%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
REN
1 - 2
BRE
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 5
PSG
12%
18%
71%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
STU
1 - 4
PSG
28%
22%
50%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PSG
1 - 1
REI
82%
13%
6%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
PSG
4 - 2
MAC
39%
23%
39%
|
96 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LEN
1 - 2
PSG
19%
21%
60%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |