Stade Brestois vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
11º
18º
12º
10
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 4% |
|
Champions League
|
0.5% | 46.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1.5% | 19% |
|
Europa League
|
1% | 9% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRE
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 2
BRE
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 0
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 1
STL
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 1
BRE
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 3
MAR
31%
25%
43%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 2
MAR
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAU
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
SPO
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
NÎM
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |