Stade Brestois vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
18º
8º
30
5º
17º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 26 |
18º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
1% | 9.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 15.5% |
|
Europa League
|
2.5% | 13.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
10% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ANG
2 - 0
BRE
25%
25%
51%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LRO
0 - 1
BRE
5%
15%
80%
|
87 | 50 | 37 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 1
NAN
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 0
PSV
28%
23%
49%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 1
BRE
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
LYO
1 - 0
MPL
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 2
LYO
8%
17%
75%
|
91 | 49 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PSG
3 - 1
LYO
64%
19%
16%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
LYO
3 - 2
EIN
33%
23%
44%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 3
LYO
17%
21%
63%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |