Stade Brestois vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
18º
8º
21
3º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 0
PSV
28%
23%
49%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 1
BRE
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BRE
3 - 1
STR
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 0
BRE
85%
11%
5%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
BRE
65%
20%
14%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 0
REN
19%
23%
59%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 1
NAN
86%
10%
4%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 2
LHA
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 2
NAN
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
MAR
16%
22%
62%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |