Stabæk vs Sogndal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
6º
30
3º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 49 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 41 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 39 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 33 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 21 |
16º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
58.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
40% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STB
2 - 3
IKS
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
STB
1 - 2
RAU
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRY
3 - 0
STB
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
STB
1 - 1
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 3
STB
20%
22%
59%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sogndal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
SOG
29%
25%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SOG
0 - 1
LYN
34%
24%
42%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
RAU
4 - 1
SOG
41%
25%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SOG
0 - 2
RAN
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 0
SOG
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |