St. Truiden 2 vs Rupel Boom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
13º
16º
16º
8
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 17% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 58.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Truiden 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
STT
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Rupel Boom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RUP
4 - 1
DIE
53%
23%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KNO
2 - 0
RUP
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TIE
1 - 2
RUP
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RUP
2 - 1
AAL
83%
12%
6%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LYR
5 - 0
RUP
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |