St. Truiden 2 vs Racing Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
67.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
13º
16º
16º
10
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 61% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Truiden 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KVV
1 - 1
STT
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
STT
0 - 0
RUP
12%
19%
69%
|
6 | 52 | 46 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
STT
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 0
BER
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 3
EEN
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TON
1 - 2
RAC
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 2
RAC
34%
23%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 0
RMO
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |