St. Truiden 2 vs Mechelen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
73.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
13º
16º
16º
5
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Truiden 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STT
2 - 3
RAC
13%
19%
68%
|
8 | 53 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KVV
1 - 1
STT
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
STT
0 - 0
RUP
12%
19%
69%
|
6 | 52 | 46 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
STT
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | -1 |
Matches
Mechelen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MEC
2 - 2
DIE
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RUP
4 - 0
MEC
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
MEC
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 0
ESP
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
MEC
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |