St. Pölten II vs Mistelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
STP
0 - 2
STP
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
STP
2 - 3
GAF
41%
23%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
STP
3 - 1
LEO
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SCR
1 - 3
STP
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
STP
2 - 0
SCH
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MIS
1 - 4
WUR
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
SVS
2 - 2
MIS
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
KOT
4 - 0
MIS
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
MIS
1 - 3
GOT
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
ZWE
6 - 1
MIS
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |