St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs USSA Vertou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
14º
11º
46
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
79.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FON
1 - 1
SPG
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LRO
1 - 1
SPG
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 2
LAV
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
SPG
22%
20%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 1
LEM
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
USS
7 - 0
ESO
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LAV
2 - 2
USS
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
USS
4 - 0
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LEM
2 - 3
USS
31%
23%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
USS
1 - 2
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |