St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs USSA Vertou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
14º
11º
46
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
79.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FON
1 - 1
SPG
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LRO
1 - 1
SPG
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 2
LAV
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
SPG
22%
20%
57%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 1
LEM
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
USS
7 - 0
ESO
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LAV
2 - 2
USS
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
USS
4 - 0
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LEM
2 - 3
USS
31%
23%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
USS
1 - 2
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |