St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
14º
11º
37
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
79.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPG
1 - 0
LRO
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LAV
2 - 2
SPG
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 0
CHA
49%
21%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEM
4 - 2
SPG
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 3
32%
22%
47%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FON
0 - 2
SAB
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LRO
2 - 0
FON
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FON
2 - 0
ESO
27%
25%
49%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LAV
1 - 1
FON
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FON
1 - 0
SNA
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |