St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs ESOFV La Roche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
14º
10º
19
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 44 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 42 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 65% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
44.5% | 19.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
PAU
3%
8%
89%
|
37 | 72 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LAT
2 - 0
SPG
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
3 - 0
THO
23%
21%
56%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 0
ANG
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
USS
2 - 1
SPG
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ESOFV La Roche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ESO
1 - 3
RCS
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ASC
0 - 2
ESO
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FON
1 - 2
ESO
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ESO
0 - 2
LAT
53%
21%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
ESO
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |