St. Peter vs Schwadorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ARD
3 - 6
STP
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 0
STP
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
STP
1 - 1
KOT
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GAF
1 - 0
STP
61%
20%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STP
4 - 0
ZWE
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Schwadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 1
LAN
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
KOT
0 - 1
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 2
GAF
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
ZWE
1 - 1
SCH
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 0
LEO
49%
24%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |