St. Peter vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 1
STP
44%
23%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
STP
0 - 2
STP
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
WUR
1 - 3
STP
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
SVS
2 - 1
STP
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
STP
2 - 4
KOT
43%
24%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
ARD
3 - 0
GAF
31%
24%
44%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 4
ARD
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ARD
2 - 1
SCR
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ARD
1 - 2
SCH
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
WAI
2 - 2
ARD
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |