FC St Pauli vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 0
STP
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
STP
1 - 1
LUB
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
F95
3 - 0
STP
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
STP
1 - 0
HAM
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
STP
0 - 0
BOR
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
WER
1 - 2
HAM
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
OSN
2 - 1
WER
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
WER
2 - 2
DIE
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
HOL
3 - 2
WER
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
HER
2 - 0
WER
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |