FC St Pauli vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1976 |
BVB
6 - 2
STP
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
STP
1 - 1
AAA
79%
15%
7%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
FCM
4 - 3
STP
23%
23%
54%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
STP
2 - 4
WUP
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1976 |
TEN
3 - 0
STP
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1976 |
WAT
1 - 2
PRE
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
USO
2 - 2
WAT
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
WAT
3 - 0
SSV
91%
8%
1%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1976 |
DJK
1 - 2
WAT
27%
24%
50%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1976 |
WAT
4 - 3
KÖL
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |