FC St Pauli vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
FSV
2 - 1
STP
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
KOL
0 - 0
STP
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
STP
2 - 1
SVS
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
COT
2 - 0
STP
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
OFF
0 - 3
STP
6%
13%
81%
|
75 | 26 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
VFR
2 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
VFR
70%
20%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VFR
0 - 3
EBT
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
RTV
0 - 1
VFR
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VFR
3 - 0
ING
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |