FC St Pauli vs TuS Neuendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
3.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
STP
4 - 1
AHA
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
LEV
3 - 0
STP
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
STP
2 - 1
KÖL
58%
21%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
WHE
1 - 1
STP
48%
24%
27%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
STP
2 - 0
WAT
65%
20%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
TuS Neuendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
TUN
5 - 2
WER
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1978 |
WER
1 - 1
TUN
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
TUN
1 - 0
PIR
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
KAI
8 - 2
TUN
84%
10%
6%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1963 |
TUN
4 - 1
BSC
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |