FC St Pauli vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
STP
2 - 2
MSV
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1978 |
KAI
2 - 1
STP
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
STP
5 - 3
EIN
24%
24%
53%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
MUN
4 - 1
STP
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
HER
5 - 0
STP
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1978 |
MSV
2 - 1
STU
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1978 |
STU
3 - 1
RTV
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
STU
3 - 0
KAI
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
EIN
2 - 0
STU
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
STU
3 - 1
MUN
64%
20%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |