FC St Pauli vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
OWI
1 - 2
STP
21%
23%
56%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
KOL
4 - 1
STP
82%
10%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
STP
4 - 0
ISC
80%
14%
7%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1975 |
STP
1 - 0
DJK
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
WAT
2 - 1
STP
41%
24%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 0
DJK
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 2
ROT
29%
22%
49%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
WAT
3 - 0
SWE
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1975 |
SWE
3 - 1
ERK
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
WOL
4 - 1
SWE
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |