FC St Pauli vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
MSV
3 - 1
STP
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
STP
2 - 0
FCN
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
HAN
2 - 0
STP
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
STP
1 - 2
HER
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
HES
5 - 4
STP
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
SCF
2 - 1
BWB
64%
21%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
OFC
2 - 1
SCF
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
SCF
1 - 1
SAA
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
SVS
0 - 1
SCF
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
SCF
1 - 4
KÖL
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |