DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 2-3
FC St Pauli vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
SCS
2 - 6
STP
21%
25%
55%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
POB
2 - 5
STP
17%
22%
61%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
STP
2 - 0
OSN
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
STP
2 - 0
WOL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
BAR
1 - 3
STP
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1971 |
MON
5 - 2
ROT
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
BRE
4 - 0
ROT
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1971 |
ROT
1 - 1
EBT
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
HER
2 - 0
ROT
71%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
ROT
2 - 0
F95
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |