FC St Pauli vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
STP
5 - 1
SSV
92%
6%
1%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
ERK
1 - 3
STP
24%
23%
53%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
STP
2 - 1
KÖL
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
STP
2 - 1
DJK
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
WAT
2 - 0
STP
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
PRE
2 - 1
USO
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
SSV
1 - 2
PRE
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
PRE
2 - 0
ERK
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1976 |
SWE
3 - 2
PRE
58%
19%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1976 |
DJK
0 - 1
PRE
33%
24%
43%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |