FC St Pauli vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1997 |
RTV
6 - 0
STP
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
LEV
3 - 0
STP
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
STP
1 - 3
MON
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
STU
3 - 0
STP
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1997 |
STP
0 - 1
ROS
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1997 |
MSV
4 - 2
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
STU
0 - 2
MSV
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1997 |
MSV
0 - 1
ROS
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
SCF
2 - 0
MSV
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1997 |
MSV
2 - 3
MUN
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |