FC St Pauli vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
RWA
1 - 0
STP
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
STP
1 - 2
SCF
33%
27%
41%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FCN
2 - 0
STP
60%
23%
16%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
STP
2 - 2
MSV
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WEH
3 - 1
STP
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
M05
2 - 0
TUS
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ING
3 - 4
M05
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
LEV
4 - 1
M05
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
M05
0 - 0
RWA
72%
17%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
M05
1 - 2
SCF
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |